Risk evasion continued Tuesday allowing the U.S. dollar and Japanese Yen to maintain their positions against the background of lack of economic reports planned earlier. First of all, it was caused by the expansion of spreads of Irish and Italian bonds giving rise to anxiety towards some EU member states. Even Obama’s promise to cut business activity tax by $ 200 bln. couldn’t abate investors’ fears of taking risks.
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France is in disarray. According to opinion polls, the popularity of French President – Nicolas Sarkozy, for many decades, didn’t not fell so low. Recently resigned two ministers and parliamentary passions abound with light hand media – series of scandals added to the charges a suspect in the corruption minister of abuse of office in obtaining funds for Sarkozy’s presidential campaign.
Oil prices continued mixed dynamics today. Friday’s collapse has been changed for the oil price climbing today. However, oil prices this afternoon, traded on the positive territory, fell again – down from the beginning of the day by 0,7%.
How seriously should be considered the threat of the new reecession and the second wave of crisis? The fact that the pace of economic recovery will begin to decline, many analysts have repeatedly predicted, therefore, in a sense, the events of recent months in the stock markets should not surprise anyone. Markets with their usual harshness and inconsistency warn that lies ahead. Last summer, they signal the approach of a tipping point and the beginning of recovery. Now they predict a short pause in growth. As already noted, this often happens during the recovery period: the positive dynamics slows down, the activity also decreases for a while, then to resume with renewed vigor.
Forecast price of real estate market remains negative. The real estate market is experiencing the most difficult times in the past 50 years, assured analysts believe. Unable to learn the lesson of history from the first time, be sure to tread on the same rake again and again. This applies to the deep economic and financial crisis engulfed the entire world. What’s behind it? The answer is simple: cyclic processes on the real estate market, driven by credit. Living in the USA, UK, Spain and Ireland began to actively speculate in land and real estate.
The DJIA ceases to grow steadily after the results of stress tests. Calling the results of stress tests bad we can not, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.10% growth. The DJIA is a mark of 10,400.02, gaining 77.72 points (0.75%). So, seven European banks have not been stress-tests conducted to confirm the stability of the banking system of the EU.
U.S. reports have helped to stimulate demand for the dollar only, because data on the housing market were not as bad as expected. In the United States was started 549 thousand construction jobs, which was 5% below the May figures, having descended to 8-month low. However, it became known that the number of building permits (an indicator pointing to further activity in the sector) in the last month showed an increase of 2,1% to 586,000. This pattern suggests that builders are still hoping that the recovery in the sector will continue.
The future of the euro remains a major issue for European banks. Deutsche Bank foreign exchange experts believe that the growth of the single European currency against the dollar is a sign that investors are increasingly concerned about the state of the U.S. economy and corporate reporting, rather than the problems of sovereign debt of the Eurozone.
Dow Jones Industrial Average has prevented all attempts to impose a bear trend. Dow index is at around 9,918.45 points, having won 174.83 points (1.79%) for the last day. DJIA rising steadily against the background of recent statements by Chinese officials and the successful closing of European stock exchanges. European stocks have grown up to the auction on Wednesday 7 July. Shares of banks were on the rise in anticipation of information on methods for stress tests. BP shares have risen in price thanks to speculation of a sale of the share of Arab investors. Pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 index rose by 1.3% to 246.06 points, Britain’s FTSE 100 – has increased by 1% to 5015 points, Germany’s DAX – on 0,8% to 5993 points, the French CAC-40 – for 1,7 % to 3483 points.
In the UK in June, the index of business activity in construction dropped slightly to 58.4 points (expected no change) with 58.5 points in May.